The legacy media is hyper-focused on the political theater of Trump’s latest ultimatum—threatening to bomb Iranian bridges and power plants every time a commercial ship is targeted in the Strait of Hormuz.
But while the mainstream press obsesses over rhetoric and the rapid collapse of the U.S.-Iran MOU, they are completely missing the physical math playing out on the water right now.
Overnight, the Houthis officially opened a second front, striking two Saudi oil tankers (Encelia and Layla) with missiles and drones in the Red Sea, and announcing a total blockade of Saudi-linked shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
Here is the data that matters:
Because the Strait of Hormuz is effectively a warzone, Saudi Arabia has been desperately routing nearly 4.9 million barrels of crude and refined fuels a day through its East-West pipeline to the Red Sea port of Yanbu. It was their strategic workaround to bypass Tehran's chokehold.
Now, the Houthis have neutralized that backup plan. We are looking at a maritime "double whammy." Both critical chokepoints—Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb—are compromised simultaneously. Brent crude instantly spiked back toward $100 a barrel this morning, and the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve is already mathematically drained to a 1983 baseline.
We warned you weeks ago that this "diplomatic breakthrough" was a manufactured geopolitical fiction designed to distract from structural failures. Now the illusion has entirely collapsed.
When you strip away the narrative and look at the actual ledger, Trump really only has two strategic options left on the table.
We don't trade in hopium; we track the physical math. Read the full breakdown of why this was always going to fail—and what happens next:
I read that slap-dash, sloppily written “Memorandum of Understanding”, and could not interpret it as requiring that the Iranian Leadership actually “did” a single concrete thing… “arrange for unimpeded passage” or something like that, through the Strait, “to the best of their ability”.
Lol. So, the Iranian guys can say “we did that” by saying “Register with Iran, use our Shipping Lanes, sign our Insurance Documents —which are, for 60 days, free of charge.” That document was, at best, a 60-day ceasefire, and tenuous.
Doesn’t the authority to take us to war lie with congress? I want to know when the MF’ers are going to do the jobs they are paid, with our tax dollars, to do! They have been in recess more than they have been there since TACO took over. This is the confederacy’s last gasp to take over this country. Fucking enough.
Mitch McConnell will lose his valiant fight against pneumonia on or around August 4th.
The turtle is probably on $40,000 / day life support for as long as trumpworld can cover it up.
It's not like they are paying the bill. They shirk that thing right off onto us.
"Mild" pneumonia, of course.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K0jwRYgdVKQ
The legacy media is hyper-focused on the political theater of Trump’s latest ultimatum—threatening to bomb Iranian bridges and power plants every time a commercial ship is targeted in the Strait of Hormuz.
But while the mainstream press obsesses over rhetoric and the rapid collapse of the U.S.-Iran MOU, they are completely missing the physical math playing out on the water right now.
Overnight, the Houthis officially opened a second front, striking two Saudi oil tankers (Encelia and Layla) with missiles and drones in the Red Sea, and announcing a total blockade of Saudi-linked shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
Here is the data that matters:
Because the Strait of Hormuz is effectively a warzone, Saudi Arabia has been desperately routing nearly 4.9 million barrels of crude and refined fuels a day through its East-West pipeline to the Red Sea port of Yanbu. It was their strategic workaround to bypass Tehran's chokehold.
Now, the Houthis have neutralized that backup plan. We are looking at a maritime "double whammy." Both critical chokepoints—Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb—are compromised simultaneously. Brent crude instantly spiked back toward $100 a barrel this morning, and the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve is already mathematically drained to a 1983 baseline.
We warned you weeks ago that this "diplomatic breakthrough" was a manufactured geopolitical fiction designed to distract from structural failures. Now the illusion has entirely collapsed.
When you strip away the narrative and look at the actual ledger, Trump really only has two strategic options left on the table.
We don't trade in hopium; we track the physical math. Read the full breakdown of why this was always going to fail—and what happens next:
https://triggledger.substack.com/p/trumps-two-options-in-the-strait?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=8gc1qf
I read that slap-dash, sloppily written “Memorandum of Understanding”, and could not interpret it as requiring that the Iranian Leadership actually “did” a single concrete thing… “arrange for unimpeded passage” or something like that, through the Strait, “to the best of their ability”.
Lol. So, the Iranian guys can say “we did that” by saying “Register with Iran, use our Shipping Lanes, sign our Insurance Documents —which are, for 60 days, free of charge.” That document was, at best, a 60-day ceasefire, and tenuous.
Amongst other ailments, I believe congestive heart failure is the reason the tangerine turd is swollen and sweaty.
Thanks so much for the update
Doesn’t the authority to take us to war lie with congress? I want to know when the MF’ers are going to do the jobs they are paid, with our tax dollars, to do! They have been in recess more than they have been there since TACO took over. This is the confederacy’s last gasp to take over this country. Fucking enough.
I want to know why congress has not put a stop to the attack on Iran and dragging us into W111?