Trump approval COLLAPSES…in 20 states HE WON!
A breathtaking political implosion is unfolding in 20 red states Trump won just a year ago.
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Something extraordinary is happening in Trump country. And it’s not subtle. It’s not regional. It’s not a “beltway narrative.” It is mathematically undeniable.
Donald Trump’s approval rating is collapsing in twenty states that he won in 2024. Not slipping, not softening. Collapsing.
A new YouGov/Economist poll finds Trump underwater in twenty of his own states; states he carried just a year ago. Overall, he is now net-negative in 39 out of 50 states.
This is not the story right-wing media wants out there. It is also not a one-state fluke. It is a broad national decline in support that can only be described as a political freefall.
Oklahoma: The Collapse No One Saw Coming
Let’s start with the most shocking example from Oklahoma.
In January, Trump was +27 in Oklahoma. Today, he is –7. That is a 34 point swing in one of the most reliably Republican states in the country.
Political scientists have searched for historical parallels. There aren’t many. A swing that large, in such a solid partisan state, just a year after a presidential win, is almost unheard of.
And again, this isn’t an Oklahoma issue. This pattern repeats across red America.
The Broader Picture: A National Implosion
Trump’s approval has dropped in every state except Idaho. Idaho seems perfectly content with Trump’s performance, but everywhere else, the bottom is falling out.
What’s causing the collapse?
Economic frustration
The recent government shutdown
Tariffs driving up prices
The Epstein document backlash
A drumbeat of scandals, dysfunction, and chaos
Even polling analyst Nate Silver notes that Trump’s disapproval is now higher than it was at this point in his first term. That alone should terrify Republicans.
CNN analyst Harry Enten broke it down even more clearly: Trump’s net approval fell from –10 before the shutdown to –15 today. The lowest number of his second term.
Democrats Quietly Benefiting
If you want a sign that the shutdown backfired politically, look at the generic congressional ballot.
Before the shutdown: Democrats +3
Today: Democrats +5
A two-point gain is not the whole story. What matters is that it’s driven by Trump’s collapse and a broader souring on the Republican brand.
A Fox News poll finds that 76 percent of Americans say the economy is not doing well. This is worse than at the end of Biden’s term and worse than even many pessimistic analysts expected. When three out of four voters think the economy is struggling, the incumbent gets blamed.
And according to the polling, voters pinpoint the causes: inflation, tariffs, and uncertainty.
All three are Trump-made problems.
The Republican Base: Still With Him, But Cracking
Republican voters still approve of Trump by large margins. But here’s the key: you don’t go from +27 to –7 in Oklahoma without losing Republican support.
Some Republicans are not abandoning him entirely, but they are frustrated. They say the economy is bad. They say the presidency feels chaotic. They say the shutdown is ridiculous. But when push comes to shove, many of them will still choose Trump over any Democrat.
Which means this is not a mass defections story. It’s a coalition story.
Trump won in 2024 because of a fragile coalition of independents, moderates, and demographic groups that temporarily moved toward him. Those groups are drifting back. Latino voters, who gave Trump a record share of their support in 2024, have now moved away in huge numbers.
In a midterm election with razor-thin margins in the House, even a small shift among independents can flip a district.
Republicans currently hold the House by only five seats.
What This Means for 2026
A president losing significant ground in his own states is a nightmare scenario heading into midterms. Historically, when an incumbent collapses this hard in states they recently won, the midterms become unpredictable and often brutal.
Competitive House seats could swing on one or two points. That is the exact level of erosion Trump is experiencing in red states right now.
Trump says all the polls are fake. They’re not. And serious Republicans know they’re not.
Is There Any Common Ground Left?
There is an opportunity here. Republicans and Democrats are not going to agree on abortion, taxes, and foreign policy, but there is growing bipartisan disgust with Trump-era corruption.
Trump is regulating crypto while his sons are running multibillion-dollar crypto grifts. They are cutting deals in Saudi Arabia and Malaysia. The administration is openly blurring the line between public office and private enrichment.
You can disagree on tax brackets and still agree that this is unacceptable.
There may be space, however small, for a coalition of people who say: enough. We can fight about the policy details later. First, we need a government that is not openly corrupt.
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—David
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GOOD.....lets take the house & Senate....We sane folks are tired of ALL this evil toddler drama.
He's made the USA into the DSA - that's "Disunited", not "Donnie's".