ANOTHER job loss disaster for Trump

You can’t crash the economy if you close your eyes, right?

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Trump Killed the Jobs Data. Now the Economy Is Falling Apart in the Dark

The economic news right now is not good, and what is even worse is that the administration appears to be panicking about how to hide it. In a functioning country, when the economy starts to wobble, we debate policy, we analyze data, and we figure out solutions. But we are not in a functioning country. We are in a country where Donald Trump did not like the jobs numbers, so he simply shut them off.

Literally.

Trump fired the commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. There are no official jobs reports anymore. No official inflation report. The third quarter GDP report is delayed or gone entirely. The federal government is making trillion-dollar decisions without the basic data needed to run a lemonade stand, let alone the world’s largest economy.

The Only Numbers We Have Left

The only reason we know anything at all is because of private payroll tracking companies like ADP. Historically, their reports have tracked very closely to the official BLS figures, so they serve as a rough proxy.

And those numbers are ugly.

According to ADP, private employers have been losing 13,500 jobs every week for the last month. That is not a rounding error. That is a real shift and a real acceleration in job losses.

This is especially interesting because the administration’s talking point has been, “Sure, government jobs are disappearing, but that is good because we are cutting fraud, waste, and abuse.” They insisted the private sector would tell the “real” story.

Here is the real story: the private sector is now bleeding jobs too. And because Trump shut down the official jobs report, this is the only data we have.

You do not get to brag about the private sector when the only remaining private sector data shows things getting worse.

Cooking the Books by Turning Off the Stove

None of this should surprise anyone. This is the same president who looked at rising Covid case numbers and said, “Stop testing.” It is the same president who explained out loud that fewer tests produce fewer cases. In Trump world, pregnancy goes away if you throw out the pregnancy test.

This is not governance. It is magical thinking.

Now we have the Covid playbook applied to the economy. Don’t like the unemployment numbers? Fire the commissioner. Don’t like the inflation report? Cancel it. Don’t like GDP? Make it disappear.

The problem is that reality does not care whether Trump approves of the spreadsheet. If you close your eyes while driving, the bridge is still there.

A Wobbly Economy and No Dashboard

We are now out days from the next Federal Reserve meeting, and the Fed will be making interest rate decisions with no official inflation data, no official jobs report, and no current GDP print. They will be guessing about what is happening in a 27 to 30 trillion dollar economy because the president canceled the instruments.

Meanwhile, every major Trump policy is a weight on the system:

• The tariff regime remains a drag on growth

• Mass deportation plans would remove millions of workers and reduce GDP by roughly 7 percent

• First quarter GDP was negative

• Layoffs are accelerating

The administration is flying blind while insisting everything is fine.

It is not fine.

The Myth of Trump the Businessman

Despite all this, magazines still run glossy features about Trump the businessman. They gush about how he runs government like a company. It would be funny if it were not so damaging.

If Donald Trump were the CEO of a public corporation and reacted to bad quarterly numbers by firing the accounting department and forbidding earnings reports, he would be escorted out of the building.

There is a reason this man has multiple bankruptcies. There is a reason deficits explode under Republican leadership. There is a reason Democratic presidents, on average, produce nearly three times the job growth Republicans do.

The record is not complicated. Facts do not care how many gold-plated elevators you stand in.

Historical Numbers Are Not Kind to Republicans

Let’s zoom out.

If we start with Harry Truman and go forward:

Net jobs added under Democratic presidents:
71 million

Net jobs added under Republican presidents:
29 million

Yes, there have been more years of Democrats in office, so if you adjust for that:

Average jobs created per month since Truman:
Democratic presidents: 164,000
Republican presidents: 61,000

Presidents do not control every variable. Global business cycles, natural disasters, supply shocks, and one-off events all exist. But when you look at nearly a century of data and see Democratic presidents consistently outperforming Republicans, something is happening.

It is not magic. It is policy.

Invest in public infrastructure, education, and healthcare. Avoid self-inflicted trade wars and pointless mass deportations. Do not reinvent government agencies every time a billionaire tweets at you.

It turns out that governing like an adult produces jobs.

The Bottom Line

Right now, the United States economy is ending each month with fewer jobs than it started. We only know that because ADP still publishes numbers. The official machinery of economic measurement has been dismantled to protect the president’s ego.

Eventually, the real data will surface. And when it does, we may learn that things are far worse than even the patchwork private reports suggest.

This is not leadership. It is an administrative meltdown. It projects panic, not confidence. It reveals incompetence, not strength.

And unless something changes soon, we are going to learn the hard way that refusing to measure problems does not fix them.

It just guarantees you will not see the crash until you are already in it.

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