Lichtman calls it for Kamala, Trump town hall goes sour
The David Pakman Show - September 5, 2024
This installment of The David Pakman Show newsletter is free for everyone. I send these daily. If you’d like to receive it, join the newsletter today.
Note: This is totally separate from website Membership and does not affect your website Membership in any way.
Trump FORGETS WHO HE'S RUNNING AGAINST, Fox host CAN'T SAVE him!
In place of a scheduled presidential debate, Donald Trump appeared in a town hall with Sean Hannity, where he struggled to remember key details about his campaign and opponent. Trump's performance was marked by forgetfulness, as he repeatedly failed to recall who he was running against and seemed confused about current events. At one point, he made a troubling claim that voters had no choice but to vote for him, even if they disliked him, reflecting a concerning authoritarian tone. He also became distracted by a mosquito and went off on a tangent about his knowledge of nuclear programs, citing his uncle's MIT background as evidence of his expertise. The audience's reaction to these comments, including applause for irrelevant points, indicated a cult-like environment. Additionally, Trump expressed frustration with Joe Biden’s decision to withdraw from the race, acknowledging that defeating Kamala Harris would be more challenging. The town hall seemed to do little to attract new supporters, largely only resonating with his existing base.
BREAKING TOP ELECTION PREDICTOR: KAMALA WILL DEFEAT TRUMP
Allan Lichtman, a respected election predictor, has forecasted that Kamala Harris will win the presidential election against Donald Trump. Lichtman, known for his accurate past predictions, evaluated 13 key factors, with 8 favoring Harris, including a strong economy and no major scandals, while 4 favor Trump, such as foreign military failures and the incumbent seeking reelection. One key remains undecided which is major foreign or military success. Critics, however, argue that some keys might be misinterpreted, like the “no scandal” key, which they believe should favor Trump due to perceived issues with Joe Biden’s cognitive abilities, and the “no primary contest” key, questioning Harris’s unconventional path to the candidacy. Despite these debates, Lichtman asserts that his model is designed to handle unprecedented scenarios. However, his prediction is no replacement for enthusiastic voter participation since people still have to register if applicable, and vote on or before November 5th.
From yesterday’s show:
SHOCK POLL: Kamala +8 over Trump in Wisconsin
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by nearly 2 points in national polls, but the real focus is on key battleground states that will determine the election. While one poll shows Harris ahead by 8 points in Wisconsin, her average lead there is just 1.4 points due to mixed results. In other critical states like Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Georgia, the race is either tied or extremely close. Although Harris has had strong fundraising efforts and some positive poll results, the Electoral College system often favors Republicans, meaning even a national popular vote win might not guarantee victory. The 2016 election, where Donald Trump lost the popular vote but won the Electoral College, and the 2020 election, where Joe Biden narrowly secured the Electoral College despite winning the popular vote by over 4 points, highlight how close the race could be. It's important not to assume Harris has a clear path to victory despite some positive signs like this Wisconsin poll.
From yesterday’s show:
IT'S HAPPENING: Judge DENIES Trump's desperate request to avoid sentencing
Donald Trump’s attempt to delay his sentencing in the hush money case was rejected by a federal judge, with the sentencing now scheduled for September 18th. Trump had sought to move the case to federal court, citing a Supreme Court ruling that grants immunity for official acts carried out while in office. However, U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein ruled that the hush money payments to Stormy Daniels were private, unofficial acts, making them ineligible for such protection. Trump, convicted on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records related to the payments, has filed an appeal in response to this decision. Despite the legal maneuvers, sentencing appears set to proceed as planned. Trump might be sentenced to serve jail time, but he will more likely receive a suspended sentence or home confinement. While the situation remains uncertain, Trump's legal team is expected to continue seeking delays or alternative outcomes.
More on the show:
-- Doctor Steven Hassan, world-renowned cult expert and author of "The Cult of Trump: A Leading Cult Expert Explains How the President Uses Mind Control," joins David to discuss his understanding of the MAGA movement through a cult lens. Get the book: https://amzn.to/4dTBM4q
-- A new poll finds that Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump among Latino voters by 27 points, but this is actually a smaller lead than that which previous Democrats have held over Republicans
-- A number of pro-Trump influencers, including Dave Rubin, Tim Pool, Benny Johnson, and Lauren Chen, have been named in an indictment related to Russian influence campaigns
--Despite Donald Trump calling New York City a crime-ridden hellscape, and despite New York University being a "woke" institution, Barron Trump will be attending NYU in New York City
-- Kamala Harris announces a major tax proposal and Donald Trump absolutely loses it
-- Voicemail caller asks how to get the free goodies with David's forthcoming book, The Echo Machine. Get the book: https://davidpakman.com/echo
-- On the Bonus Show: Republican Liz Cheney says she's voting for Kamala Harris, Ken Paxton threatens to block Democrats from registering to vote, Trump media stock crashing, much more...
-- Become a Member: https://www.davidpakman.com/membership